5/31/08

Forecast-USDJPY Weekly 6/1-6/6

(as of 5/31 21:05 ET)After closed market. USDJPY was jumped up above 105.70 last week but it couldn't reach to 106.00.

Price is 76.4% of 108.21-95.78 and 50% of 114.65-95.78. This price point is already 1,020pips up from 95.78. In my opinion, it is enough to correct from 108.21 so far.
***USDJPY Weekly

5/30/08

Words-Focus

Learn from yesterday, 
live for today, hope for tomorrow.
The important thing is not to stop questioning.


by Albert Ainshtain

**過去から学び、今日の為に生き、未来に希望を持つ。
 大切なことは、問い続けることだ。
(疑問に思ったり、感じたりすることを止めないこと)

by アルバート・アインシュタイン/ドイツ ノーベル物理学者

5/29/08

Daily Outlook 5/30

(as of 5/30 8:07 JPT 5/29 19:07 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY***
***USDCHF/AUDUSD/***

USDJPY

S3=103.51
S2=104.06
S1=104.77
R1=106.03
R2=106.58
R3=107.29

GBPUSD

S3=1.9541
S2=1.9606
S1=1.9686
R1=1.9831
R2=1.9896
R3=1.9976

GBPJPY

S3=205.04
S2=205.91
S1=207.20
R1=209.36
R2=210.23
R3=211.52

EURUSD

S3=1.5269
S2=1.5377
S1=1.5448
R1=1.5627
R2=1.5735
R3=1.5806

EURJPY

S3=162.36
S2=162.83
S1=163.27
R1=164.18
R2=164.65
R3=165.09

USDCHF

S3=1.0241
S2=1.0303
S1=1.0398
R1=1.0555
R2=1.0617
R3=1.0712

AUDUSD

S3=0.9412
S2=0.9474
S1=0.9513
R1=0.9614
R2=0.9676
R3=0.9715

DataI-5/29 NYMEX Volume



(as of 5/29 18:40 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 2,126,027 (for 5/29)

(as of 5/28 19:00 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 1,955,680 (for 5/28)


(as of 5/27 21:00 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 1,868,876 (for 5/27)


(as of 5/23 19:00 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 1,830,281 (for 5/23)


(as of 5/22 21:06 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 2,494,645 (for 5/22)


(as of 5/21 22:55 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 2,189,814 (for 5/21)

(as of 5/20 23:30 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 2,041,813 (for 5/20)

(as of 5/20 6:10 ET)
● NYMEX Total Exchange Volume----> 1,586,384 (for 5/19)

(as of 5/19 12 45ET)
● New York Mercantile Exchange
-->Total Exchante Wide Volume 1,674,657 (for 5/16)

5/28/08

Daily Outlook 5/29

(as of 5/29 8:12 JPT 5/28 19:13 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY*/29**
***USDCHF/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***


USDJPY

S3=102.52
S2=103.20
S1=103.94
R1=105.36
R2=106.04
R3=106.78

GBPUSD

S3=1.9608
S2=1.9655
S1=1.9731
R1=1.9854
R2=1.9901
R3=1.9977

GBPJPY

S3=203.27
S2=204.23
S1=205.78
R1=208.29
R2=209.25
R3=210.80

EURUSD

S3=1.5424
S2=1.5516
S1=1.5576
R1=1.5728
R2=1.5820
R3=1.5880

EURJPY
S3=161.67
S2=162.38
S1=163.04
R1=164.41
R2=165.21
R3=165.78

USDCHF

S3=1.0120
S2=1.0190
S1=1.0284
R1=1.0448
R2=1.0518
R3=1.0612


USDCAD

S3=0.9802
S2=0.9844
S1=0.9872
R1=0.9942
R2=0.9984
R3=1.0012

AUDUSD

S3=0.9514
S2=0.9538
S1=0.9582
R1=0.9650
R2=0.9674
R3=0.9718

NZDUSD

S3=0.7754
S2=0.7792
S1=0.9824
R1=0.7894
R2=0.7932
R3=0.7964

5/27/08

Daily Outlook 5/28

(as of 5/28 6:43 JPT 5/27 17:43 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY***
***USDCHF/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***


USDJPY

S3=102.46
S2=102.86
S1=103.54
R1=104.62
R2=105.02
R3=105.70

GBPUSD

S3=1.9570
S2=1.9642
S1=1.9703
R1=1.9836
R2=1.9908
R3=1.9969

GBPJPY

S3=203.56
S2=204.11
S1=205.05
R1=206.54
R2=207.09
R3=208.03

EURUSD

S3=1.5507
S2=1.5594
S1=1.5643
R1=1.5779
R2=1.5866
R3=1.5915

EURJPY
S3=162.19
S2=162.60
S1=163.07
R1=163.95
R2=164.36
R3=164.83

USDCHF

S3=1.0132
S2=1.0176
S1=1.0257
R1=1.0382
R2=1.0426
R3=1.0507


USDCAD

S3=0.9805
S2=0.9836
S1=0.9886
R1=0.9967
R2=0.9998
R3=1.0048

AUDUSD

S3=0.9509
S2=0.9544
S1=0.9564
R1=0.9619
R2=0.9654
R3=0.9674

NZDUSD

S3=0.7794
S2=0.7824
S1=0.7859
R1=0.7924
R2=0.7954
R3=0.7989

Forecast-USDJPY 5/27 7 ET

If price break out above blue trendline. I'm expecting that it may goes up to 104.40 area. But two indicators stay at overbought zone.***USDJPY 4h

Forecasts-GBPUSD 5/27

There are three indicators (EMA50+EMA20+Weekly Pivot) above a price(1.9850 area).***GBPUSD Weekly

5/26/08

Daily Ooutlook 5/27

(as of 5/27 7:45 JPT 5/26 18:45 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY***
***USDCHF/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=102.85
S2=102.98
S1=103.21
R1=103.57
R2=103.70
R3=103.93

GBPUSD

S3=1.9702
S2=1.9730
S1=1.9774
R1=1.9846
R2=1.9874
R3=1.9918

GBPJPY

S3=203.56
S2=203.90
S1=204.44
R1=205.32
R2=205.66
R3=206.20

EURUSD

S3=1.5692
S2=1.5716
S1=1.5743
R1=1.5794
R2=1.5818
R3=1.5845

EURJPY
S3=162.23
S2=162.48
S1=162.78
R1=163.33
R2=163.58
R3=163.88

USDCHF

S3=1.0180
S2=1.0206
S1=1.0224
R1=1.0268
R2=1.0294
R3=1.0312


USDCAD

S3=0.9795
S2=0.9827
S1=0.9868
R1=0.9941
R2=0.9973
R3=1.0014

AUDUSD

S3=0.9551
S2=0.9566
S1=0.9587
R1=0.9623
R2=0.9638
R3=0.9659

NZDUSD

S3=0.7783
S2=0.7805
S1=0.7836
R1=0.7889
R2=0.7911
R3=0.7942

Forecasts-USDJPY 5/26

(as of 5/26 13:50 ET) ***USDJPY 4h


Forecasts-USDJPY Weekly 5/25-5/30

The price has been moving from 102.50 to 105.70 range. ***USDJPY Weekly










***USDJPY Monthly











5/25/08

Daily Outlook 5/26

(as of 5/26 9:13 JPT 5/25 20:13 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY***
***USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=101.55
S2=102.48
S1=103.10
R1=104.65
R2=105.58
R3=106.20

GBPUSD

S3=1.9657
S2=1.9705
S1=1.9753
R1=1.9849
R2=1.9897
R3=1.9945

GBPJPY

S3=201.56
S2=202.85
S1=203.69
R1=205.82
R2=207.11
R3=207.95

EURUSD

S3=1.5617
S2=1.5657
S1=1.5715
R1=1.5813
R2=1.5853
R3=1.5911

EURJPY
S3=161.18
S2=161.88
S1=162.43
R1=163.68
R2=164.38
R3=164.93

USDCAD

S3=0.9749
S2=0.9814
S1=0.9847
R1=0.9900
R2=0.9920
R3=0.9953

AUDUSD

S3=0.9473
S2=0.9513
S1=0.9556
R1=0.9639
R2=0.9679
R3=0.9722

NZDUSD

S3=0.7742
S2=0.7783
S1=0.7819
R1=0.7896
R2=0.7937
R3=0.7973

5/24/08

IMM Position 5/20

***JAPANESE YEN / BRITISH POUND / EURO FX / AUSTRALIAN D / CANADIAN D / SWISS FRANC / NEW ZEALAND D

JAPANESE YEN

BRITISH POUND

EURO FX
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

CANADIAN DOLLAR


SWISS FRANC

NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR

**IMM = International Monetary Market

5/22/08

Daily Outlook 5/23

(as of 5/23 10:21 JPT 5/22 21:21 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY***
***USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=101.55
S2=102.48
S1=103.10
R1=104.65
R2=105.58
R3=106.20

GBPUSD

S3=1.9541
S2=1.9611
S1=1.9707
R1=1.9873
R2=1.9943
R3=2.0039

GBPJPY

S3=199.84
S2=201.27
S1=203.67
R1=207.50
R2=208.93
R3=211.33

EURUSD

S3=1.5557
S2=1.5625
S1=1.5678
R1=1.5799
R2=1.5867
R3=1.5920

EURJPY
S3=161.07
S2=161.66
S1=162.68
R1=164.29
R2=164.88
R3=165.90

USDCAD

S3=0.9775
S2=0.9801
S1=0.9822
R1=0.9869
R2=0.9895
R3=0.9916

AUDUSD

S3=0.9409
S2=0.9476
S1=0.9515
R1=0.9621
R2=0.9688
R3=0.9727

NZDUSD

S3=0.7623
S2=0.7692
S1=0.7757
R1=0.7891
R2=0.7960
R3=0.8025

5/21/08

Daily Outlook-5/22

(as of 5/22 10:30 JPT 5/21 21:30 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY***
***USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=101.55
S2=102.48
S1=103.10
R1=104.65
R2=105.58
R3=106.20

GBPUSD

S3=1.9533
S2=1.9572
S1=1.9652
R1=1.9771
R2=1.9810
R3=1.9890

GBPJPY

S3=201.05
S2=201.82
S1=202.57
R1=204.09
R2=204.86
R3=205.61

EURUSD

S3=1.5523
S2=1.5577
S1=1.5686
R1=1.5849
R2=1.5903
R3=1.6012

EURJPY
S3=160.25
S2=160.91
S1=161.83
R1=163.41
R2=164.07
R3=164.99

USDCAD

S3=0.9688
S2=0.9753
S1=0.9795
R1=0.9902
R2=0.9967
R3=1.0009

AUDUSD

S3=0.9473
S2=0.9514
S1=0.9569
R1=0.9665
R2=0.9706
R3=0.9761

NZDUSD

S3=0.7645
S2=0.7685
S1=0.7726
R1=0.7807
R2=0.7847
R3=0.7888

CaseStudy-Moving Pttern USDJPY

USDJPY 1h chart which has a couple of similar pattern like a double bottom.

5/20/08

Daily Outlook 5/21

(as of 5/20 8:15 JPT 5/20 19:15 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/EURJPY***
***USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=102.24
S2=102.84
S1=103.26
R1=104.28
R2=104.88
R3=105.30

GBPUSD

S3=1.9295
S2=1.9386
S1=1.9534
R1=1.9773
R2=1.9864
R3=2.0012

GBPJPY

S3=200.85
S2=201.77
S1=202.91
R1=204.97
R2=205.89
R3=207.03

EURUSD

S3=1.5363
S2=1.5433
S1=1.5539
R1=1.5715
R2=1.5785
R3=1.5891

EURJPY
S3=159.86
S2=160.65
S1=161.43
R1=163.00
R2=163.79
R3=164.57

USDCAD

S3=0.9794
S2=0.9834
S1=0.9877
R1=0.9960
R2=1.0000
R3=1.0043

AUDUSD

S3=0.9429
S2=0.9473
S1=0.9529
R1=0.9629
R2=0.9673
R3=0.9729

NZDUSD


S3=0.7652
S2=0.7682
S1=0.7710
R1=0.7768
R2=0.7798
R3=0.7826

5/19/08

EcoNews-5/19(data of CME&NYMEX)

(as of 5/19 12 45ET)
● New York Mercantile Exchange-->Total Exchante Wide Volume Trade Date:5/16/2008 1,674,657

● CME 5/13 Position
EURO FX

GBP FX

YEN

Daily Outlook 5/20 9:15 JPT

(as of 5/20 9:15 JPT 5/19 20:15 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=101.55
S2=102.48
S1=103.10
R1=104.65
R2=105.58
R3=106.20

GBPUSD

S3=1.9249
S2=1.9351
S1=1.9419
R1=1.9589
R2=1.9691
R3=1.9759

GBPJPY

S3=201.60
S2=202.26
S1=202.77
R1=203.94
R2=203.60
R3=205.11

EURUSD

S3=1.5304
S2=1.5395
S1=1.5452
R1=1.5600
R2=1.5691
R3=1.5748

USDCAD

S3=0.9775
S2=0.9837
S1=0.9875
R1=0.9975
R2=1.0037
R3=1.0075

AUDUSD

S3=0.9445
S2=0.9477
S1=0.9505
R1=0.9565
R2=0.9597
R3=0.9625

NZDUSD


S3=0.7624
S2=0.7665
S1=0.7691
R1=0.7758
R2=0.7799
R3=0.7825

5/18/08

Daily Outlook 5/19

(as of 5/19 8:30 JPT 5/1819:30ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=101.79
S2=102.65
S1=103.36
R1=104.93
R2=105.79
R3=106.50

GBPUSD

S3=1.9305
S2=1.9373
S1=1.9462
R1=1.9619
R2=1.9687
R3=1.9776

GBPJPY

S3=200.80
S2=201.70
S1=202.60
R1=204.40
R2=205.30
R3=206.20

EURUSD

S3=1.5321
S2=1.5379
S1=1.5486
R1=1.5651
R2=1.5709
R3=1.5816

USDCAD

S3=0.9874
S2=0.9908
S1=0.9952
R1=1.0030
R2=1.0064
R3=1.0108

AUDUSD

S3=0.9267
S2=0.9329
S1=0.9436
R1=0.9605
R2=0.9667
R3=0.9774

NZDUSD


S3=0.7527
S2=0.7572
S1=0.7652
R1=0.7777
R2=0.7822
R3=0.7902

5/16/08

Forecast-GBPUSD 5/16 12 ET

GBPUSD just touch at weekly pivot line so far. ***GBPUSD Daily

5/15/08

Crude Oil 5/15

***Crude Oil daily 5/15 8:00 ET

Daily Outlook 5/15 20:00 ET

(as of 5/16 9:00 JPT 5/15 20:00 ET)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=103.49
S2=103.96
S1=104.35
R1=105.21
R2=105.68
R3=106.07

GBPUSD

S3=1.9322
S2=1.9363
S1=1.9418
R1=1.9514
R2=1.9555
R3=1.9610

GBPJPY

S3=201.36
S2=202.22
S1=203.09
R1=204.82
R2=205.68
R3=206.55

EURUSD

S3=1.5269
S2=1.5344
S1=1.5396
R1=1.5523
R2=1.5598
R3=1.5650

USDCAD

S3=0.9901
S2=0.9945
S1=0.9971
R1=1.0041
R2=1.0085
R3=1.0111

AUDUSD

S3=0.9195
S2=0.9242
S1=0.9323
R1=0.9451
R2=0.9498
R3=0.9579

NZDUSD


S3=0.7464
S2=0.7500
S1=0.7569
R1=0.7674
R2=0.7710
R3=0.7779

5/14/08

Crude Oil Today 5/14

5/14 08 ***Crude Oil 1h


***Crude Oil 1h Chart

***Crude Oil Daily

Daily Outlook-5/15 9:17JPT

(as of 5/15 JPT9:15 5/14 ET 20:15)
***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=103.74
S2=104.15
S1=104.61
R1=105.46
R2=105.87
R3=106.32

GBPUSD

S3=1.9280
S2=1.9321
S1=1.9390
R1=1.5000
R2=1.9541
R3=1.9610

GBPJPY

S3=201.93
S2=202.66
S1=203.51
R1=205.09
R2=205.82
R3=206.67

EURUSD

S3=1.5325
S2=1.5360
S1=1.5417
R1=1.5509
R2=1.5544
R3=1.5601

USDCAD

S3=0.9871
S2=0.9917
S1=0.9975
R1=1.0079
R2=1.0125
R3=1.0183

AUDUSD

S3=0.9164
S2=0.9233
S1=0.9287
R1=0.9410
R2=0.9479
R3=0.9533

NZDUSD


S3=0.7528
S2=0.7560
S1=0.7582
R1=0.7636
R2=0.7668
R3=0.7690

USDJPY 5/14 2:30

Is it going up or down? Both still have room. I'm expecting price will goes down to around 104 area.(or 103.72 area which is Weekly pivot .

Daily Outlook 5/14

***USDJPY/GBPUSD/GBPJPY/EURUSD/USDCAD/AUDUSD/NZDUSD***

USDJPY

S3=102.23
S2=102.80
S1=103.77
R1=105.31
R2=105.88
R3=106.85

GBPUSD

S3=1.9219
S2=1.9318
S1=1.9386
R1=1.9553
R2=1.9652
R3=1.9720

GBPJPY

S3=199.52
S2=200.51
S1=202.15
R1=203.14
R2=204.78
R3=207.41

EURUSD

S3=1.5278
S2=1.5354
S1=1.5414
R1=1.5550
R2=1.5626
R3=1.5686

USDCAD

S3=0.9875
S2=0.9929
S1=0.9983
R1=1.0091
R2=1.0145
R3=1.0199

AUDUSD

S3=0.9271
S2=0.9327
S1=0.9365
R1=0.9459
R2=0.9515
R3=0.9553

NZDUSD


S3=0.7527
S2=0.7581
S1=0.7610
R1=0.7693
R2=0.7747
R3=0.7776